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| 4. History. What
type of property will appreciate most over the long term, apartments or
freestanding houses? What will the recent GST implementation do to home
values? How will the First Home Owners scheme affect sales of the type of
homes that are typically attractive to young buyers? To provide the
best answers you should make extrapolations from the history of real estate
profits. Getting the correct answer to these sorts of questions could win
you the 'property investors bingo'. Baby boomers were only part of the 1980s
property boom: the introduction of Capital Gains Tax, changes to negative
gearing laws twice within the decade, and of course rising inflation and
interest rates, sent sales prices through the roof. (But only in select
areas; that 'position' again!) |
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| One
historical trend that will come to your attention is the increasing move
to density living. So a logical conclusion to follow might seem to be 'buy
a flat'. The problem with this approach is that what will most actively
appreciate to yield profits is the amount of land beneath your building.
Well-positioned apartments (close to everything) are attractive to the professional
investor because of historically superior rental returns. But as the occupier
'own home investor' this will not concern you so much, unless you plan to
rent out your own home sometime in the future (say if you are young and
mobile, wishing to travel overseas when you have saved enough). Buying an
inner city modest house on a large well-positioned block has historically
been one of the most lucrative long-term strategies. With urban renewal
these sorts of properties become very attractive to apartment developers.
(That is if you can stand to see your cottage knocked down in ten years
time!) If however apartment living is the only lifestyle that suits you,
as with houses, make sure you buy a quality 'position'. The unit overlooking
the dull carpark, or worse the rubbish bins, is cheap for a reason. |
| 5.
Timing. 'When you buy' runs a close second to 'position'. It has been mentioned
that buying your own home as an investment is less timing critical than
professional property investment, but you still don't want to buy in a boom
and sell in a slump. The easy way to insure against this is to avoid over
hyped booming suburbs and to buy an area with strong position fundamentals.
Perhaps the more relevant timing criteria for the owner occupier is:
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| Do
older homes make better resale profits than the 'freshly' built? |
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Homes become dated. Yet that's not a bad thing for taking profits. Around
the twenty to thirty year old mark (or as young as fifteen year old on some
modern cheap constructions) the fit out of a home comes up for replacement.
The plumbing , the hot water system the air-conditioning/heating and even
the roof may well be at the end of their useful life. Conversely, just after
a major overhaul when such mechanical systems have been replaced, is a great
time to buy. The reason being that such structural repairs rarely add significantly
to the home's resale value (a sad indictment of human focus on appearance
over substance). But replacing such utilities sure can be expensive to finance
yourself, so be careful not to buy just before their expiry date! |
| Also
to consider, from the investment point of view a second hand home can be
a much safer bet because you know what you are getting in terms of the area.
New estate areas and their just-new-homes don't have an established track
record of appreciation with which to chart your future profits. Importantly,
because these older homes were built on that thing they are not making anymore
of, that is well positioned land, they are often the better investment pick.
These areas have also had time to develop architectural charm in area diversity,
a little bit of which is vital for resale profits. (Too much diversity however,
where you have 50's houses rubbing against Victorian terraces in the same
street, can dampen property values). Established areas can be ranked more
reliably in terms of their conveniences of shops and transport, amenities,
which will have to be present if you are to take good profits on resale. |
| Lastly,
that there is no GST may make these second hand homes a better investment
bet than building a new home. |
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